Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 12.813709 14.320426 15.949640 17.844867 19.992265 22.353648 25.152195
2025-06-08 10.559433 12.570208 14.900566 17.811205 21.363626 25.576392 30.977394
2025-06-15 9.168644 11.543776 14.472294 18.373348 23.470620 29.955016 38.908915
2025-06-22 7.793418 10.312568 13.595197 18.229928 24.675479 33.425578 46.380192
2025-06-29 6.612338 9.147741 12.619969 17.788790 25.401212 36.379118 53.735490
2025-07-06 5.735668 8.263945 11.888089 17.554349 26.359642 39.805326 62.445098
2025-07-13 5.227736 7.830101 11.727430 18.117431 28.582768 45.492712 75.817350
2025-07-20 4.799525 7.451807 11.589113 18.682248 30.891970 51.717569 91.415561
2025-07-27 4.372164 7.014046 11.291567 18.933204 32.710210 57.433749 107.375868
2025-08-03 3.921555 6.478085 10.758328 18.695150 33.621744 61.691044 121.536468
2025-08-10 3.525059 5.982375 10.225891 18.372550 34.313289 65.646051 135.986529
2025-08-17 3.192848 5.557284 9.760992 18.100694 35.047236 69.802942 151.830821
2025-08-24 2.911114 5.196631 9.380463 17.960700 36.078646 74.890667 171.360002
2025-08-31 2.674603 4.891750 9.066266 17.907264 37.289076 80.626065 194.029962
2025-09-07 2.533498 4.750672 9.048113 18.458279 39.911793 90.094203 228.797776
2025-09-14 2.333126 4.470938 8.720857 18.303832 40.921249 95.995982 255.907962
2025-09-21 2.127363 4.157626 8.287754 17.853537 41.160872 100.067384 279.160606
2025-09-28 1.963935 3.912911 7.968379 17.613078 41.867657 105.491501 308.116722
2025-10-05 1.883570 3.832929 7.991355 18.174479 44.699772 117.240501 360.712179
2025-10-12 1.809098 3.757128 8.013870 18.738471 47.652127 130.039158 421.388962
2025-10-19 1.717693 3.634273 7.915567 18.988227 49.806927 141.051304 479.998928
2025-10-26 1.601721 3.444465 7.641075 18.747969 50.546762 147.962473 526.206329
2025-11-02 1.491241 3.256312 7.349891 18.423350 50.989352 154.069953 571.774405